It’s the timeless question that every trader asks themselves after a weak day of market action like what just wrapped up here on Mon Dec 9th. Is this the start of a major top, or just a pause?
Watch the 16-minute video (has captions)>>
- A complete look from Weekly to 60-minute Time frames, including key price levels to monitor
- The next Forecast for the S&P 500 *if* this turns out to be a significant top
- How to layer analysis between time frames to find the hot zones on your charts
- My entire game plan for tomorrow (hence the video length)
- What the RSI Power Zones are telling me right now
Short on Time? Here’s the Key Takeaways from This Video!
Summary of Key Points from the Transcript:
- Market Overview:
- The S&P 500 appears to be forming a short-term top as of December 9, 2024.
- Weekly chart analysis indicates current price action is red but still respects the prior week’s range.
- Key Levels to Monitor:
- Weekly support noted at 6036.00; maintaining levels above this suggests room for continued upside.
- Projected resistance levels that had been met on the daily chart are highlighted at 6081.25 and 6101.75, with pullbacks observed after hitting these levels.
- Daily Chart Insights:
- The market is correcting after reaching projected resistance levels.
- December 6th’s price action shows an Outside Bar (higher high, lower low), and the low of December 3rd’s Doji is a key support to monitor.
- Forecasting:
- A potential forecast predicts weakness continuing until December 16, targeting a price of 5912.75 based on time and price analysis.
- The intersection of Hima’s purple vertical and horizontal lines on the chart is used to identify potential turning points.
- Intraday Analysis:
- On the 60-minute chart, support and resistance levels are recalibrated for intraday trading.
- Significant levels include 6088.50 (Old Bottom now acting as resistance) and 6076 (support turned resistance).
- Strategy Recommendations:
- Avoid entering bearish positions at current RSI Power Zones oversold levels; consider selling on recovery rallies instead.
- Monitoring retracement levels (e.g., 50% at 5983.00) is crucial for gauging potential reversals.
- Market Trends and Guidance:
- November 19 marked the last oversold condition, leading to a bottoming formation. Current conditions could mirror that behavior.
- Continuous monitoring across weekly, daily, and intraday charts is emphasized for precise trading decisions.
- Additional Training:
- Hima provides insights through her daily research reports and trading labs as part of the S&P Edge Pro. This week there’s also a bonus live trading sessions for Gann Candlestick students.
- Key Analysis Takeaways
- Continued monitoring of the price action is key to determine whether the current down move represents a top or a pullback.